Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.301477 3.862718 4.458279 5.134135 5.876646 6.664484 7.560531
2025-01-05 2.517582 3.295530 4.180943 5.249489 6.490468 7.873374 9.517865
2025-01-12 1.943149 2.834800 3.918105 5.298192 6.977183 8.923021 11.317606
2025-01-19 1.477437 2.407038 3.611405 5.225136 7.271358 9.723994 12.829564
2025-01-26 1.194491 2.156379 3.476631 5.323631 7.746710 10.729981 14.591997
2025-02-02 0.975161 1.948365 3.359995 5.414351 8.191793 11.691229 16.306817
2025-02-09 0.745303 1.675271 3.110366 5.289127 8.328113 12.247542 17.513700
2025-02-16 0.566121 1.442479 2.883348 5.163133 8.438119 12.753807 18.650351
2025-02-23 0.450797 1.293561 2.761595 5.169514 8.715831 13.473037 20.062116
2025-03-02 0.342286 1.128070 2.588160 5.077114 8.838974 13.977741 21.193526
2025-03-09 0.296794 1.081910 2.608251 5.278576 9.383900 15.058048 23.095679
2025-03-16 0.234165 0.978069 2.511797 5.283811 9.635428 15.735901 24.468419
2025-03-23 0.207961 0.958882 2.571980 5.552295 10.296102 17.008319 26.681909
2025-03-30 0.179698 0.925823 2.601623 5.770462 10.887258 18.196440 28.803395
2025-04-06 0.145249 0.862124 2.562404 5.867169 11.293300 19.129609 30.591489
2025-04-13 0.106357 0.764973 2.440342 5.809197 11.453295 19.711336 31.902957
2025-04-20 0.085434 0.718709 2.418791 5.924482 11.884456 20.686463 33.767279
2025-04-27 0.067592 0.673516 2.392405 6.026407 12.293221 21.632003 35.598485
2025-05-04 0.044184 0.582789 2.245832 5.893631 12.315131 22.007966 36.634047
2025-05-11 0.027231 0.501536 2.105538 5.758841 12.323435 22.357875 37.631568
2025-05-18 0.018207 0.454141 2.041910 5.766120 12.563798 23.053578 39.124305
2025-05-25 0.010132 0.393556 1.929959 5.666742 12.617557 23.465625 40.213276
2025-06-01 0.008090 0.387808 1.972286 5.883855 13.215591 24.710069 42.509930